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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Isaiah Likely or Luther Burden III?

Final · Week 7

Burden outscored Likely

Our call was start Likely (51%): wrong by 18.5 Standard pts.

Likely 1.2 Projected 6.8
Burden 19.7 Projected 6.7

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

TE Giants TE #6 Start

Isaiah Likely

@ Houston Texans · Final · NYG 27–21 HOU

Median (Standard) 6.8
Status Active
WR Bears WR #23

Luther Burden III

vs New England Patriots · Final · NE 24–30 CHI

Median (Standard) 6.7
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Likely: 11.8 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 79% of snaps, 6.5 touches, HOU allows the 28th most to TEs.
  • Burden: 10.4 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 58% of snaps, 6.5 touches, NE allows the 15th most to WRs.
Likely Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ HOU 1.2 – 2
Wk 6 vs NO 17.9 91% 6
Wk 5 @ WAS 21.4 80% 11
Wk 4 vs ARI 6.6 66% 7
Burden Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs NE 19.7 61% 5
Wk 6 @ ATL 9.5 39% 8
Wk 5 @ GB 4.9 77% 8
Wk 4 vs NYJ 7.4 56% 5

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Likely Burden
Median Standard pts 6.8 6.7
Rec 6.1 4.4
Rec Yds 56.1 58.4
Rec TD 0.4 0.3

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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