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Week 7 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Isaiah Likely or Luther Burden III?

Final · Week 7

Burden outscored Likely

Our call was start Likely (55%): wrong by 23.5 DraftKings pts.

Likely 3.2 Projected 13.1
Burden 26.7 Projected 11.0

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

TE Giants TE #5 Start

Isaiah Likely

@ Houston Texans · Final · NYG 27–21 HOU

Median (DraftKings) 13.1
Status Active
WR Bears WR #25

Luther Burden III

vs New England Patriots · Final · NE 24–30 CHI

Median (DraftKings) 11.0
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Likely: 18.3 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 81% of snaps, 6.5 touches, HOU allows the 27th most to TEs.
  • Burden: 16.1 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 58% of snaps, 6.5 touches, NE allows the 13th most to WRs.
Likely Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ HOU 3.2 86% 2
Wk 6 vs NO 23.9 91% 6
Wk 5 @ WAS 32.4 80% 11
Wk 4 vs ARI 13.6 66% 7
Burden Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs NE 26.7 61% 5
Wk 6 @ ATL 17.5 39% 8
Wk 5 @ GB 8.9 77% 8
Wk 4 vs NYJ 11.4 56% 5

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Likely Burden
Median DraftKings pts 13.1 11.0
Rec 6.1 4.4
Rec Yds 56.1 58.4
Rec TD 0.4 0.3

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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