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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Tim Patrick or Garrett Wilson?

The verdict

Start Garrett Wilson

Wins 83% of simulated matchups against Patrick.

Patrick's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Wilson already played: 3.6 Half PPR pts (projected 9.6).

Week 6: Wilson outscored Patrick 6.4 to 2.0. Our call, start Wilson (86%), was right.

Patrick 17% 83% Wilson

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Half PPR pts. How accurate are these?

WR Jets WR #93

Tim Patrick

vs Miami Dolphins · Final · MIA 28–25 NYJ

Median (Half PPR) 1.2
Status Active
WR Jets WR #20 Start

Garrett Wilson

vs Miami Dolphins · Final · MIA 28–25 NYJ

Median (Half PPR) 9.6
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Patrick: 2.8 Half PPR pts/game over his last 2, 81% of snaps, 1.5 touches, MIA allows the 30th most to WRs.
  • Wilson: 8.5 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 97% of snaps, 4.0 touches, MIA allows the 30th most to WRs.
Patrick Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ NE 2.0 69% 1
Wk 5 vs CLE 3.6 93% 2
Wilson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs MIA 3.6 – 2
Wk 6 @ NE 6.4 98% 4
Wk 5 vs CLE 19.9 93% 7
Wk 4 @ CHI 4.2 100% 3

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Patrick Wilson
Median Half PPR pts 1.2 9.6
Rec 1.0 4.9
Rec Yds 11.8 55.1
Rec TD 0.1 0.4

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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