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Week 7 · PPR start/sit

Start Tim Patrick or Garrett Wilson?

The verdict

Start Garrett Wilson

Wins 85% of simulated matchups against Patrick.

Patrick's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Wilson already played: 4.6 PPR pts (projected 12.2).

Week 6: Wilson outscored Patrick 8.4 to 2.5. Our call, start Wilson (87%), was right.

Patrick 15% 85% Wilson

Share of simulations in which each player scores more PPR pts. How accurate are these?

WR Jets WR #92

Tim Patrick

vs Miami Dolphins · Final · MIA 28–25 NYJ

Median (PPR) 1.7
Status Active
WR Jets WR #18 Start

Garrett Wilson

vs Miami Dolphins · Final · MIA 28–25 NYJ

Median (PPR) 12.2
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Patrick: 3.5 PPR pts/game over his last 2, 81% of snaps, 1.5 touches, MIA allows the 31st most to WRs.
  • Wilson: 10.5 PPR pts/game over his last 4, 97% of snaps, 4.0 touches, MIA allows the 31st most to WRs.
Patrick Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ NE 2.5 69% 1
Wk 5 vs CLE 4.6 93% 2
Wilson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs MIA 4.6 – 2
Wk 6 @ NE 8.4 98% 4
Wk 5 vs CLE 23.4 93% 7
Wk 4 @ CHI 5.7 100% 3

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Patrick Wilson
Median PPR pts 1.7 12.2
Rec 1.0 4.9
Rec Yds 11.8 55.1
Rec TD 0.1 0.4

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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