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Week 7 · PPR start/sit

Start Tua Tagovailoa or Michael Penix Jr.?

The verdict

Start Michael Penix Jr.

Wins 90% of simulated matchups against Tagovailoa.

Tagovailoa's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Penix already played: 20.4 PPR pts (projected 15.8).

Tagovailoa 10% 90% Penix

Share of simulations in which each player scores more PPR pts. How accurate are these?

QB Falcons QB #56

Tua Tagovailoa

vs San Francisco 49ers · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (PPR) 0.2
Status Active
QB Falcons QB #13 Start

Michael Penix Jr.

vs San Francisco 49ers · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (PPR) 15.8
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Tagovailoa: -0.6 PPR pts/game over his last 1, 5% of snaps, SF allows the 22nd most to QBs.
  • Penix: 17.7 PPR pts/game over his last 4, 99% of snaps, SF allows the 22nd most to QBs.
Tagovailoa Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 5 vs BAL -0.6 5% 3
Penix Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 vs SF 20.4 100% 34
Wk 6 vs CHI 23.1 100% 33
Wk 5 vs BAL 14.4 95% 32
Wk 4 @ NO 12.7 100% 20

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Tagovailoa Penix
Median PPR pts 0.2 15.8
Pass Yds 31.4 218.8
Pass TD 0.2 1.2
INT 0.1 0.4
Rush Yds 1.7 14.2
Rush TD 0.0 0.3

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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