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Week 7 · FanDuel start/sit

Start Tua Tagovailoa or Michael Penix Jr.?

The verdict

Start Michael Penix Jr.

Wins 90% of simulated matchups against Tagovailoa.

Tagovailoa's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Penix already played: 20.4 FanDuel pts (projected 16.3).

Tagovailoa 10% 90% Penix

Share of simulations in which each player scores more FanDuel pts. How accurate are these?

QB Falcons QB #56

Tua Tagovailoa

vs San Francisco 49ers · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (FanDuel) 0.2
Status Active
QB Falcons QB #13 Start

Michael Penix Jr.

vs San Francisco 49ers · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (FanDuel) 16.3
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Tagovailoa: 0.4 FanDuel pts/game over his last 1, 5% of snaps, SF allows the 24th most to QBs.
  • Penix: 17.7 FanDuel pts/game over his last 4, 99% of snaps, SF allows the 24th most to QBs.
Tagovailoa Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 5 vs BAL 0.4 5% 3
Penix Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 vs SF 20.4 100% 34
Wk 6 vs CHI 23.1 100% 33
Wk 5 vs BAL 14.4 95% 32
Wk 4 @ NO 12.7 100% 20

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Tagovailoa Penix
Median FanDuel pts 0.2 16.3
Pass Yds 31.4 218.8
Pass TD 0.2 1.2
INT 0.1 0.4
Rush Yds 1.7 14.2
Rush TD 0.0 0.3

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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