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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Tyson Bagent or Caleb Williams?

The verdict

Start Caleb Williams

Wins 91% of simulated matchups against Bagent.

Bagent's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Williams already played: 22.1 Half PPR pts (projected 18.1).

Bagent 9% 91% Williams

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Half PPR pts. How accurate are these?

QB Bears QB #47

Tyson Bagent

vs New England Patriots · Final · NE 24–30 CHI

Median (Half PPR) 0.2
Status Active
QB Bears QB #5 Start

Caleb Williams

vs New England Patriots · Final · NE 24–30 CHI

Median (Half PPR) 18.1
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Bagent: 4.1 Half PPR pts/game over his last 3, 60% of snaps, NE allows the 24th most to QBs.
  • Williams: 20.9 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 97% of snaps, NE allows the 24th most to QBs.
Bagent Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 5 @ GB 1.2 67% 21
Wk 4 vs NYJ 8.8 100% 34
Wk 2 vs MIN 2.2 14% 9
Williams Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 vs NE 22.1 100% 33
Wk 6 @ ATL 16.5 100% 36
Wk 2 vs MIN 7.7 86% 26
Wk 1 @ CAR 37.3 100% 29

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Bagent Williams
Median Half PPR pts 0.2 18.1
Pass Yds 24.4 213.9
Pass TD 0.1 1.3
INT 0.1 0.5
Rush Yds 3.2 43.4
Rush TD 0.1 0.4

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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