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Oct 26 · Points league start/sit

Start Aaron Nesmith or Will Richard?

Close call

Start Will Richard

Wins 53% of simulated matchups against Nesmith.

Nesmith 47% 53% Richard

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Points league pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Nesmith has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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Follow this matchup

Nesmith or Richard: each week’s call by email, once the first injury reports are in.

G Pacers G #70

Aaron Nesmith

@ Milwaukee Bucks · Monday, October 26, 8:00 PM ET

Median (Points league) 9.0
Status Q Hamstring Official designation · 65% to play Report as of Mon 6:24 PM ET · checked 12m ago Pacers injury report →
G Warriors G #65 Start

Will Richard

@ Denver Nuggets · Monday, October 26, 10:00 PM ET

Median (Points league) 13.0

Last 3 games

Recent form

  • Nesmith: 12.5 Points league pts/game over his last 2, 19.5 minutes, 8.5 shots.
  • Richard: 15.7 Points league pts/game over his last 3, 18.0 minutes, 5.0 shots.
Nesmith Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 25 @ BKN 16.0 19 10
Oct 23 vs DAL 9.0 20 7
Richard Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 24 @ PHX 23.0 31 9
Oct 23 vs MEM 3.0 3 1
Oct 21 @ LAL 21.0 20 5

Oct 26

Projected stat lines

Stat Nesmith Richard
Median Points league pts 9.0 13.0
Min 15.6 18.7
PTS 7.5 6.1
REB 2.3 2.2
AST 1.1 1.4
STL 0.4 1.1
BLK 0.2 0.2
3PM 1.3 1.0
TO 0.7 0.7

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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