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Oct 26 · FanDuel start/sit

Start Aaron Nesmith or Will Richard?

Close call

Start Will Richard

Wins 51% of simulated matchups against Nesmith.

Nesmith 49% 51% Richard

Share of simulations in which each player scores more FanDuel pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Nesmith has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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Follow this matchup

Nesmith or Richard: each week’s call by email, once the first injury reports are in.

G Pacers G #66

Aaron Nesmith

@ Milwaukee Bucks · Monday, October 26, 8:00 PM ET

Median (FanDuel) 12.2
Status Q Hamstring Official designation · 65% to play Report as of Mon 5:43 PM ET · checked 8m ago
G Warriors G #65 Start

Will Richard

@ Denver Nuggets · Monday, October 26, 10:00 PM ET

Median (FanDuel) 12.4
Status Active

Last 3 games

Recent form

  • Nesmith: 14.8 FanDuel pts/game over his last 2, 19.5 minutes, 8.5 shots.
  • Richard: 13.7 FanDuel pts/game over his last 3, 18.0 minutes, 5.0 shots.
Nesmith Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 25 @ BKN 15.2 19 10
Oct 23 vs DAL 14.3 20 7
Richard Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 24 @ PHX 19.5 31 9
Oct 23 vs MEM 3.0 3 1
Oct 21 @ LAL 18.5 20 5

Oct 26

Projected stat lines

Stat Nesmith Richard
Median FanDuel pts 12.2 12.4
Min 15.6 18.7
PTS 7.5 6.1
REB 2.3 2.2
AST 1.1 1.4
STL 0.4 1.1
BLK 0.2 0.2
3PM 1.3 1.0
TO 0.7 0.7

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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