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Oct 26 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Aaron Nesmith or Will Richard?

Close call

Start Aaron Nesmith

Wins 51% of simulated matchups against Richard.

Nesmith 51% 49% Richard

Share of simulations in which each player scores more DraftKings pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Nesmith has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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Follow this matchup

Nesmith or Richard: each week’s call by email, once the first injury reports are in.

G Pacers G #66 Start

Aaron Nesmith

@ Milwaukee Bucks · Monday, October 26, 8:00 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 12.8
Status Q Hamstring Official designation · 65% to play Report as of Mon 6:24 PM ET · checked 13m ago Pacers injury report →
G Warriors G #69

Will Richard

@ Denver Nuggets · Monday, October 26, 10:00 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 12.3

Last 3 games

Recent form

  • Nesmith: 16.4 DraftKings pts/game over his last 2, 19.5 minutes, 8.5 shots.
  • Richard: 12.9 DraftKings pts/game over his last 3, 18.0 minutes, 5.0 shots.
Nesmith Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 25 @ BKN 17.3 19 10
Oct 23 vs DAL 15.5 20 7
Richard Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 24 @ PHX 19.0 31 9
Oct 23 vs MEM 2.0 3 1
Oct 21 @ LAL 17.8 20 5

Oct 26

Projected stat lines

Stat Nesmith Richard
Median DraftKings pts 12.8 12.3
Min 15.6 18.7
PTS 7.5 6.1
REB 2.3 2.2
AST 1.1 1.4
STL 0.4 1.1
BLK 0.2 0.2
3PM 1.3 1.0
TO 0.7 0.7

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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