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Oct 26 · Points league start/sit

Start Airious Bailey or Obi Toppin?

Close call

Start Airious Bailey

Wins 52% of simulated matchups against Toppin.

Oct 25: Bailey outscored Toppin 43.0 to 31.0. Our call, start Toppin (55%), was wrong.

Bailey 52% 48% Toppin

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Points league pts. How accurate are these?

Oct 27 call

Projections Tuesday, October 27, 12:00 AM ET · in 2h 50m

We email the call once the first injury reports are in.

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F Jazz F #18 Start

Airious Bailey

vs Memphis Grizzlies · Monday, October 26, 9:00 PM ET

Median (Points league) 29.0
Status Active Jazz injury report →
F Pacers F #21

Obi Toppin

@ Milwaukee Bucks · Monday, October 26, 8:00 PM ET

Median (Points league) 29.0
Status Active Pacers injury report →

Last 3 games

Recent form

  • Bailey: 29.3 Points league pts/game over his last 3, 24.7 minutes, 10.0 shots.
  • Toppin: 30.3 Points league pts/game over his last 3, 22.7 minutes, 10.0 shots.
Bailey Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 25 vs LAL 43.0 29 11
Oct 23 vs NOP 11.0 21 8
Oct 21 @ MEM 34.0 24 11
Toppin Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 25 @ BKN 31.0 19 9
Oct 23 vs DAL 22.0 25 9
Oct 21 @ NOP 38.0 24 12

Oct 26

Projected stat lines

Stat Bailey Toppin
Median Points league pts 29.0 29.0
Min 28.4 24.5
PTS 14.2 14.8
REB 5.9 5.3
AST 2.5 2.6
STL 0.9 0.8
BLK 1.0 0.3
3PM 1.8 2.1
TO 1.8 1.3

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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