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Oct 26 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Airious Bailey or Obi Toppin?

Close call

Start Airious Bailey

Wins 53% of simulated matchups against Toppin.

Oct 25: Bailey outscored Toppin 41.0 to 28.0. Our call, start Toppin (55%), was wrong.

Bailey 53% 47% Toppin

Share of simulations in which each player scores more DraftKings pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Bailey has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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Follow this matchup

Bailey or Toppin: each week’s call by email, once the first injury reports are in.

F Jazz F #20 Start

Airious Bailey

vs Memphis Grizzlies · Monday, October 26, 9:00 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 29.3
Status Active Jazz injury report →
F Pacers F #25

Obi Toppin

@ Milwaukee Bucks · Monday, October 26, 8:00 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 28.3
Status Active Pacers injury report →

Last 3 games

Recent form

  • Bailey: 29.3 DraftKings pts/game over his last 3, 24.7 minutes, 10.0 shots.
  • Toppin: 26.8 DraftKings pts/game over his last 3, 22.7 minutes, 10.0 shots.
Bailey Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 25 vs LAL 41.0 29 11
Oct 23 vs NOP 17.8 21 8
Oct 21 @ MEM 29.3 24 11
Toppin Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 25 @ BKN 28.0 19 9
Oct 23 vs DAL 21.0 25 9
Oct 21 @ NOP 31.3 24 12

Oct 26

Projected stat lines

Stat Bailey Toppin
Median DraftKings pts 29.3 28.3
Min 28.4 24.5
PTS 14.2 14.8
REB 5.9 5.3
AST 2.5 2.6
STL 0.9 0.8
BLK 1.0 0.3
3PM 1.8 2.1
TO 1.8 1.3

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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