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Oct 26 · FanDuel start/sit

Start Airious Bailey or Obi Toppin?

Close call

Start Airious Bailey

Wins 52% of simulated matchups against Toppin.

Oct 25: Bailey outscored Toppin 38.4 to 25.2. Our call, start Toppin (54%), was wrong.

Bailey 52% 48% Toppin

Share of simulations in which each player scores more FanDuel pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Bailey has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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Follow this matchup

Bailey or Toppin: each week’s call by email, once the first injury reports are in.

F Jazz F #22 Start

Airious Bailey

vs Memphis Grizzlies · Monday, October 26, 9:00 PM ET

Median (FanDuel) 27.7
Status Active Jazz injury report →
F Pacers F #24

Obi Toppin

@ Milwaukee Bucks · Monday, October 26, 8:00 PM ET

Median (FanDuel) 27.4
Status Active Pacers injury report →

Last 3 games

Recent form

  • Bailey: 28.4 FanDuel pts/game over his last 3, 24.7 minutes, 10.0 shots.
  • Toppin: 25.9 FanDuel pts/game over his last 3, 22.7 minutes, 10.0 shots.
Bailey Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 25 vs LAL 38.4 29 11
Oct 23 vs NOP 16.4 21 8
Oct 21 @ MEM 30.5 24 11
Toppin Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 25 @ BKN 25.2 19 9
Oct 23 vs DAL 21.3 25 9
Oct 21 @ NOP 31.1 24 12

Oct 26

Projected stat lines

Stat Bailey Toppin
Median FanDuel pts 27.7 27.4
Min 27.4 24.5
PTS 13.8 14.8
REB 5.6 5.3
AST 2.5 2.6
STL 0.9 0.8
BLK 0.9 0.3
3PM 1.8 2.1
TO 1.7 1.3

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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