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Oct 27 · Points league start/sit

Start Austin Reaves or Damian Lillard?

Close call

Start Austin Reaves

Wins 54% of simulated matchups against Lillard.

Free tiebreaker

Reaves has the safer floor

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor.

Sim duel · 10,000 simulated games each

Reaves Lillard
See both ranges · Free for today’s games

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Share of simulations in which each player scores more Points league pts. How accurate are these?

Follow this matchup

Reaves or Lillard: each week’s call by email, once the first injury reports are in.

G Lakers G #4 Start

Austin Reaves

vs Portland Trail Blazers · Tuesday, October 27, 11:00 PM ET

Median (Points league) 37.0
Status Active Lakers injury report →

Damian Lillard

@ Los Angeles Lakers · Tuesday, October 27, 11:00 PM ET

Median (Points league) 34.0

Last 3 games

Recent form

  • Reaves: 48.7 Points league pts/game over his last 3, 34.7 minutes, 12.0 shots, POR allows the 14th most to guards.
  • Lillard: 42.0 Points league pts/game over his last 2, 27.5 minutes, 15.0 shots, LAL allows the 18th most to guards.
Reaves Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 25 @ UTA 48.0 35 12
Oct 23 vs LAC 53.0 38 13
Oct 21 vs GSW 45.0 31 11
Lillard Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 23 @ SAC 34.0 32 18
Oct 21 vs PHX 50.0 23 12

Oct 27

Projected stat lines

Stat Reaves Lillard
Median Points league pts 37.0 34.0
Min 37.1 31.5
PTS 22.1 19.8
REB 4.2 3.7
AST 5.5 5.0
STL 1.1 1.3
BLK 0.5 0.2
3PM 2.0 3.0
TO 3.4 2.3

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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