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Oct 27 · Points league start/sit

Start Damian Lillard or Stephon Castle?

Close call

Start Stephon Castle

Wins 51% of simulated matchups against Lillard.

Free tiebreaker

Lillard has the higher ceiling

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor.

Sim duel · 10,000 simulated games each

Lillard Castle
See both ranges · Free for today’s games

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Share of simulations in which each player scores more Points league pts. How accurate are these?

Follow this matchup

Lillard or Castle: each week’s call by email, once the first injury reports are in.

Damian Lillard

@ Los Angeles Lakers · Tuesday, October 27, 11:00 PM ET

Median (Points league) 34.0
G Spurs G #5 Start

Stephon Castle

vs Sacramento Kings · Tuesday, October 27, 8:00 PM ET

Median (Points league) 36.0
Status Active Spurs injury report →

Last 3 games

Recent form

  • Lillard: 42.0 Points league pts/game over his last 2, 27.5 minutes, 15.0 shots, LAL allows the 18th most to guards.
  • Castle: 36.0 Points league pts/game over his last 3, 29.3 minutes, 18.0 shots, SAC allows the 13th most to guards.
Lillard Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 23 @ SAC 34.0 32 18
Oct 21 vs PHX 50.0 23 12
Castle Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 24 @ DAL 46.0 28 18
Oct 23 vs HOU 33.0 32 15
Oct 20 vs OKC 29.0 28 21

Oct 27

Projected stat lines

Stat Lillard Castle
Median Points league pts 34.0 36.0
Min 31.5 29.8
PTS 19.8 17.5
REB 3.7 5.3
AST 5.0 6.8
STL 1.3 1.2
BLK 0.2 0.3
3PM 3.0 1.6
TO 2.3 2.9

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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