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Oct 27 · Points league start/sit

Start Austin Reaves or Stephon Castle?

Close call

Start Austin Reaves

Wins 53% of simulated matchups against Castle.

Free tiebreaker

Reaves has the higher ceiling

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor.

Sim duel · 10,000 simulated games each

Reaves Castle
See both ranges · Free for today’s games

A one-day Pro trial covers every game today. No card needed.

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Points league pts. How accurate are these?

Follow this matchup

Reaves or Castle: each week’s call by email, once the first injury reports are in.

G Lakers G #4 Start

Austin Reaves

vs Portland Trail Blazers · Tuesday, October 27, 11:00 PM ET

Median (Points league) 37.0
Status Active Lakers injury report →
G Spurs G #5

Stephon Castle

vs Sacramento Kings · Tuesday, October 27, 8:00 PM ET

Median (Points league) 36.0
Status Active Spurs injury report →

Last 3 games

Recent form

  • Reaves: 48.7 Points league pts/game over his last 3, 34.7 minutes, 12.0 shots, POR allows the 14th most to guards.
  • Castle: 36.0 Points league pts/game over his last 3, 29.3 minutes, 18.0 shots, SAC allows the 13th most to guards.
Reaves Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 25 @ UTA 48.0 35 12
Oct 23 vs LAC 53.0 38 13
Oct 21 vs GSW 45.0 31 11
Castle Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 24 @ DAL 46.0 28 18
Oct 23 vs HOU 33.0 32 15
Oct 20 vs OKC 29.0 28 21

Oct 27

Projected stat lines

Stat Reaves Castle
Median Points league pts 37.0 36.0
Min 37.1 29.8
PTS 22.1 17.5
REB 4.2 5.3
AST 5.5 6.8
STL 1.1 1.2
BLK 0.5 0.3
3PM 2.0 1.6
TO 3.4 2.9

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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