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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start A.J. Brown or Justin Jefferson?

Final · Week 7

Brown outscored Jefferson

Our call was start Jefferson (51%): wrong by 0.4 Standard pts.

Brown 4.8 Projected 7.2
Jefferson 4.4 Projected 7.0

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

WR Patriots WR #17

A.J. Brown

@ Chicago Bears · Final · NE 24–30 CHI

Median (Standard) 7.2
Status Active
WR Vikings WR #19 Start

Justin Jefferson

vs Indianapolis Colts · Final · IND 10–16 MIN

Median (Standard) 7.0
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Brown: 3.4 Standard pts/game over his last 3, 70% of snaps, 3.0 touches, CHI allows the 18th most to WRs.
  • Jefferson: 6.5 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 67% of snaps, 4.0 touches, IND allows the 22nd most to WRs.
Brown Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ CHI 4.8 91% 3
Wk 6 vs NYJ 2.7 76% 3
Wk 1 @ SEA 2.6 44% 3
Jefferson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs IND 4.4 – 4
Wk 5 @ NO 12.8 89% 7
Wk 3 @ TB 3.2 12% 2
Wk 2 @ CHI 5.5 100% 3

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Brown Jefferson
Median Standard pts 7.2 7.0
Rec 5.6 4.5
Rec Yds 73.9 59.1
Rec TD 0.4 0.3

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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