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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Isaiah Likely or Justin Jefferson?

Final · Week 7

Jefferson outscored Likely

Our call was start Jefferson (51%): right by 3.2 Standard pts.

Likely 1.2 Projected 6.8
Jefferson 4.4 Projected 7.0

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

TE Giants TE #6

Isaiah Likely

@ Houston Texans · Final · NYG 27–21 HOU

Median (Standard) 6.8
Status Active
WR Vikings WR #19 Start

Justin Jefferson

vs Indianapolis Colts · Final · IND 10–16 MIN

Median (Standard) 7.0
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Likely: 11.8 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 81% of snaps, 6.5 touches, HOU allows the 28th most to TEs.
  • Jefferson: 6.5 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 74% of snaps, 4.0 touches, IND allows the 22nd most to WRs.
Likely Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ HOU 1.2 86% 2
Wk 6 vs NO 17.9 91% 6
Wk 5 @ WAS 21.4 80% 11
Wk 4 vs ARI 6.6 66% 7
Jefferson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs IND 4.4 93% 4
Wk 5 @ NO 12.8 89% 7
Wk 3 @ TB 3.2 12% 2
Wk 2 @ CHI 5.5 100% 3

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Likely Jefferson
Median Standard pts 6.8 7.0
Rec 6.1 4.5
Rec Yds 56.1 59.1
Rec TD 0.4 0.3

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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