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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Amon-Ra St. Brown or D'Andre Swift?

Final · Week 7

St. Brown outscored Swift

Our call was start Swift (52%): wrong by 2.7 Half PPR pts.

St. Brown 19.7 Projected 16.5
Swift 17.0 Projected 17.4

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

WR Lions WR #1

Amon-Ra St. Brown

vs Green Bay Packers · Final · GB 17–20 DET

Median (Half PPR) 16.5
Status Active
RB Bears RB #3 Start

D'Andre Swift

vs New England Patriots · Final · NE 24–30 CHI

Median (Half PPR) 17.4
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • St. Brown: 12.8 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 84% of snaps, 7.0 touches, GB allows the 11th most to WRs.
  • Swift: 14.9 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 59% of snaps, 19.0 touches, NE allows the 18th most to RBs.
St. Brown Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs GB 19.7 78% 10
Wk 5 @ ARI 9.9 86% 6
Wk 4 @ CAR 11.5 96% 8
Wk 3 vs NYJ 9.9 74% 4
Swift Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs NE 17.0 86% 26
Wk 6 @ ATL 21.0 58% 20
Wk 5 @ GB 15.3 58% 13
Wk 4 vs NYJ 6.4 35% 17

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat St. Brown Swift
Median Half PPR pts 16.5 17.4
Rec 7.8 2.9
Rec Yds 102.3 24.8
Rec TD 0.8 0.1
Rush Yds 0.1 93.4
Rush TD 0.0 1.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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