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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Christian McCaffrey or D'Andre Swift?

Final · Week 7

McCaffrey outscored Swift

Our call was start Swift (54%): wrong by 2.0 Half PPR pts.

McCaffrey 19.0 Projected 16.3
Swift 17.0 Projected 17.4

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

RB 49ers RB #4

Christian McCaffrey

@ Atlanta Falcons · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (Half PPR) 16.3
Status Active
RB Bears RB #3 Start

D'Andre Swift

vs New England Patriots · Final · NE 24–30 CHI

Median (Half PPR) 17.4
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • McCaffrey: 18.9 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 80% of snaps, 17.5 touches, ATL allows the 7th most to RBs.
  • Swift: 14.9 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 59% of snaps, 19.0 touches, NE allows the 18th most to RBs.
McCaffrey Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ ATL 19.0 – 13
Wk 6 vs WAS 26.2 85% 25
Wk 5 @ SEA 15.8 82% 14
Wk 4 vs DEN 14.5 74% 18
Swift Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs NE 17.0 86% 26
Wk 6 @ ATL 21.0 58% 20
Wk 5 @ GB 15.3 58% 13
Wk 4 vs NYJ 6.4 35% 17

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat McCaffrey Swift
Median Half PPR pts 16.3 17.4
Rush Yds 63.1 93.4
Rush TD 0.8 1.1
Rec 4.5 2.9
Rec Yds 40.9 24.8
Rec TD 0.2 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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