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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Brevyn Spann-Ford or Cole Kmet?

Close call

Start Cole Kmet

Wins 54% of simulated matchups against Spann-Ford.

Kmet already played: 2.8 Standard pts (projected 0.9).

Week 6: Spann-Ford outscored Kmet 3.5 to 0.3. Our call, start Kmet (58%), was wrong.

Spann-Ford 46% 54% Kmet

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Kmet has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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TE Cowboys TE #44

Brevyn Spann-Ford

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Standard) 0.8
Status Active
TE Bears TE #39 Start

Cole Kmet

vs New England Patriots · Final · NE 24–30 CHI

Median (Standard) 0.9
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Spann-Ford: 1.4 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 39% of snaps, 1.3 touches, PHI allows the 20th most to TEs.
  • Kmet: 1.3 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 61% of snaps, 2.0 touches, NE allows the 21st most to TEs.
Spann-Ford Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 3.5 46% 4
Wk 5 vs TB 0.0 33% –
Wk 4 @ HOU 0.0 40% –
Wk 3 vs BAL 1.9 38% 1
Kmet Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs NE 2.8 55% 3
Wk 6 @ ATL 0.3 74% 2
Wk 5 @ GB 0.8 42% 1
Wk 4 vs NYJ 1.3 73% 2

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Spann-Ford Kmet
Median Standard pts 0.8 0.9
Rec 1.1 1.2
Rec Yds 10.9 13.6
Rec TD 0.1 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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