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Week 7 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Brock Purdy or Caleb Williams?

Final · Week 7

Williams outscored Purdy

Our call was start Purdy (61%): wrong by 11.1 DraftKings pts.

Purdy 14.0 Projected 24.6
Williams 25.1 Projected 19.4

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

QB 49ers QB #1 Start

Brock Purdy

@ Atlanta Falcons · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (DraftKings) 24.6
Status Active
QB Bears QB #6

Caleb Williams

vs New England Patriots · Final · NE 24–30 CHI

Median (DraftKings) 19.4
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Purdy: 17.0 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 100% of snaps, ATL allows the 13th most to QBs.
  • Williams: 22.6 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 97% of snaps, NE allows the 23rd most to QBs.
Purdy Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 @ ATL 14.0 – 40
Wk 6 vs WAS 17.4 100% 29
Wk 5 @ SEA 17.2 100% 29
Wk 4 vs DEN 19.6 100% 30
Williams Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 vs NE 25.1 100% 33
Wk 6 @ ATL 19.5 100% 36
Wk 2 vs MIN 8.7 86% 26
Wk 1 @ CAR 37.3 100% 29

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Purdy Williams
Median DraftKings pts 24.6 19.4
Pass Yds 260.4 213.9
Pass TD 2.0 1.3
INT 0.8 0.5
Rush Yds 42.4 43.4
Rush TD 0.5 0.4

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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