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Week 7 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Caleb Williams or Matthew Stafford?

Final · Week 7

Williams outscored Stafford

Our call was start Williams (50%): right by 6.6 DraftKings pts.

Williams 25.1 Projected 19.4
Stafford 18.5 Projected 19.1

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

QB Bears QB #6 Start

Caleb Williams

vs New England Patriots · Final · NE 24–30 CHI

Median (DraftKings) 19.4
Status Active
QB Rams QB #7

Matthew Stafford

@ Las Vegas Raiders · Final · LAR 35–21 LV

Median (DraftKings) 19.1
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Williams: 22.6 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 97% of snaps, NE allows the 23rd most to QBs.
  • Stafford: 20.1 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 100% of snaps, LV allows the 6th most to QBs.
Williams Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 vs NE 25.1 100% 33
Wk 6 @ ATL 19.5 100% 36
Wk 2 vs MIN 8.7 86% 26
Wk 1 @ CAR 37.3 100% 29
Stafford Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 @ LV 18.5 – 29
Wk 6 vs ARI 16.9 100% 33
Wk 5 vs BUF 30.3 100% 54
Wk 4 @ PHI 14.7 100% 51

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Williams Stafford
Median DraftKings pts 19.4 19.1
Pass Yds 213.9 271.9
Pass TD 1.3 1.9
INT 0.5 0.6
Rush Yds 43.4 5.7
Rush TD 0.4 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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