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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Caleb Williams or Matthew Stafford?

Final · Week 7

Williams outscored Stafford

Our call was start Williams (51%): right by 4.6 Standard pts.

Williams 22.1 Projected 18.0
Stafford 17.5 Projected 17.2

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

QB Bears QB #5 Start

Caleb Williams

vs New England Patriots · Final · NE 24–30 CHI

Median (Standard) 18.0
Status Active
QB Rams QB #7

Matthew Stafford

@ Las Vegas Raiders · Final · LAR 35–21 LV

Median (Standard) 17.2
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Williams: 20.9 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 97% of snaps, NE allows the 24th most to QBs.
  • Stafford: 17.8 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 100% of snaps, LV allows the 6th most to QBs.
Williams Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 vs NE 22.1 100% 33
Wk 6 @ ATL 16.5 100% 36
Wk 2 vs MIN 7.7 86% 26
Wk 1 @ CAR 37.3 100% 29
Stafford Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 @ LV 17.5 – 29
Wk 6 vs ARI 16.9 100% 33
Wk 5 vs BUF 27.3 100% 54
Wk 4 @ PHI 9.7 100% 51

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Williams Stafford
Median Standard pts 18.0 17.2
Pass Yds 213.9 271.9
Pass TD 1.3 1.9
INT 0.5 0.6
Rush Yds 43.4 5.7
Rush TD 0.4 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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