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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Caleb Williams or Tyson Bagent?

The verdict

Start Caleb Williams

Wins 91% of simulated matchups against Bagent.

Williams already played: 22.1 Standard pts (projected 18.0).

Bagent's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Williams 91% 9% Bagent

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

QB Bears QB #5 Start

Caleb Williams

vs New England Patriots · Final · NE 24–30 CHI

Median (Standard) 18.0
Status Active
QB Bears QB #46

Tyson Bagent

vs New England Patriots · Final · NE 24–30 CHI

Median (Standard) 0.2
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Williams: 20.9 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 97% of snaps, NE allows the 24th most to QBs.
  • Bagent: 4.1 Standard pts/game over his last 3, 60% of snaps, NE allows the 24th most to QBs.
Williams Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 vs NE 22.1 100% 33
Wk 6 @ ATL 16.5 100% 36
Wk 2 vs MIN 7.7 86% 26
Wk 1 @ CAR 37.3 100% 29
Bagent Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 5 @ GB 1.2 67% 21
Wk 4 vs NYJ 8.8 100% 34
Wk 2 vs MIN 2.2 14% 9

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Williams Bagent
Median Standard pts 18.0 0.2
Pass Yds 213.9 24.4
Pass TD 1.3 0.1
INT 0.5 0.1
Rush Yds 43.4 3.2
Rush TD 0.4 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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