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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Case Keenum or Caleb Williams?

The verdict

Start Caleb Williams

Wins 91% of simulated matchups against Keenum.

Keenum's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Williams already played: 22.1 Standard pts (projected 18.0).

Keenum 9% 91% Williams

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

QB Bears QB #49

Case Keenum

vs New England Patriots · Final · NE 24–30 CHI

Median (Standard) 0.2
Status Active
QB Bears QB #5 Start

Caleb Williams

vs New England Patriots · Final · NE 24–30 CHI

Median (Standard) 18.0
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Keenum: 8.4 Standard pts/game over his last 3, 45% of snaps, NE allows the 24th most to QBs.
  • Williams: 20.9 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 97% of snaps, NE allows the 24th most to QBs.
Keenum Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 5 @ GB 0.7 33% 19
Wk 4 vs NYJ 0.0 1% –
Wk 3 vs PHI 24.5 100% 34
Williams Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 vs NE 22.1 100% 33
Wk 6 @ ATL 16.5 100% 36
Wk 2 vs MIN 7.7 86% 26
Wk 1 @ CAR 37.3 100% 29

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Keenum Williams
Median Standard pts 0.2 18.0
Pass Yds 23.8 213.9
Pass TD 0.1 1.3
INT 0.1 0.5
Rush Yds 1.5 43.4
Rush TD 0.0 0.4

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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