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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start CeeDee Lamb or DK Metcalf?

Close call

Start CeeDee Lamb

Wins 51% of simulated matchups against Metcalf.

Metcalf already played: 5.6 Standard pts (projected 8.1).

Week 6: Metcalf outscored Lamb 9.3 to 7.0. Our call, start Lamb (63%), was wrong.

Lamb 51% 49% Metcalf

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Their ranges are almost the same

Who booms, and who busts?

Same range, so boom and bust odds decide it. Pro shows both, side by side.

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WR Cowboys WR #10 Start

CeeDee Lamb

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Standard) 8.4
Status Active
WR Steelers WR #14

DK Metcalf

@ New Orleans Saints · Final · PIT 16–10 NO

Median (Standard) 8.1
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Lamb: 11.4 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 78% of snaps, 9.0 touches, PHI allows the 2nd most to WRs.
  • Metcalf: 7.2 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 94% of snaps, 5.5 touches, NO allows the 21st most to WRs.
Lamb Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 7.0 88% 9
Wk 5 vs TB 0.9 57% 2
Wk 4 @ HOU 24.3 86% 18
Wk 3 vs BAL 13.2 82% 7
Metcalf Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ NO 5.6 92% 2
Wk 6 @ TB 9.3 95% 11
Wk 5 vs IND 2.3 92% 4
Wk 4 @ CLE 11.5 97% 5

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Lamb Metcalf
Median Standard pts 8.4 8.1
Rec 6.6 5.4
Rec Yds 85.2 70.8
Rec TD 0.4 0.4

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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