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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start CeeDee Lamb or DK Metcalf?

Close call

Start CeeDee Lamb

Wins 52% of simulated matchups against Metcalf.

Metcalf already played: 6.6 Half PPR pts (projected 10.7).

Week 6: Metcalf outscored Lamb 14.8 to 11.5. Our call, start Lamb (65%), was wrong.

Lamb 52% 48% Metcalf

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Half PPR pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Lamb has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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WR Cowboys WR #8 Start

CeeDee Lamb

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Half PPR) 11.3
Status Active
WR Steelers WR #12

DK Metcalf

@ New Orleans Saints · Final · PIT 16–10 NO

Median (Half PPR) 10.7
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Lamb: 15.7 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 78% of snaps, 9.0 touches, PHI allows the 2nd most to WRs.
  • Metcalf: 9.8 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 94% of snaps, 5.5 touches, NO allows the 21st most to WRs.
Lamb Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 11.5 88% 9
Wk 5 vs TB 1.9 57% 2
Wk 4 @ HOU 32.8 86% 18
Wk 3 vs BAL 16.7 82% 7
Metcalf Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ NO 6.6 92% 2
Wk 6 @ TB 14.8 95% 11
Wk 5 vs IND 3.8 92% 4
Wk 4 @ CLE 14.0 97% 5

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Lamb Metcalf
Median Half PPR pts 11.3 10.7
Rec 6.6 5.4
Rec Yds 85.2 70.8
Rec TD 0.4 0.4

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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