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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start CJ Donaldson or Kaelon Black?

The verdict

Start Kaelon Black

Wins 55% of simulated matchups against Donaldson.

Donaldson's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Black already played: 10.4 Half PPR pts (projected 2.6).

Week 6: Black outscored Donaldson 4.2 to 1.9. Our call, start Donaldson (62%), was wrong.

Donaldson 45% 55% Black

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Half PPR pts. How accurate are these?

RB Saints RB #51

CJ Donaldson

vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Final · PIT 16–10 NO

Median (Half PPR) 2.1
Status Active
RB 49ers RB #49 Start

Kaelon Black

@ Atlanta Falcons · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (Half PPR) 2.6
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Donaldson: 2.0 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 32% of snaps, 4.3 touches, PIT allows the 23rd most to RBs.
  • Black: 4.4 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 22% of snaps, 8.5 touches, ATL allows the 7th most to RBs.
Donaldson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ NYG 1.9 33% 6
Wk 5 vs MIN 2.5 42% 5
Wk 4 vs ATL 3.3 38% 5
Wk 3 vs LV 0.5 16% 1
Black Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ ATL 10.4 – 13
Wk 6 vs WAS 4.2 23% 9
Wk 5 @ SEA 1.6 18% 6
Wk 4 vs DEN 1.3 26% 6

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Donaldson Black
Median Half PPR pts 2.1 2.6
Rush Yds 12.9 21.4
Rush TD 0.1 0.1
Rec 0.7 0.4
Rec Yds 4.7 3.1
Rec TD 0.0 0.0

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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