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Week 7 · PPR start/sit

Start CJ Donaldson or Kaelon Black?

Close call

Start Kaelon Black

Wins 53% of simulated matchups against Donaldson.

Donaldson's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Black already played: 10.9 PPR pts (projected 2.7).

Week 6: Black outscored Donaldson 4.7 to 1.9. Our call, start Donaldson (64%), was wrong.

Donaldson 47% 53% Black

Share of simulations in which each player scores more PPR pts. How accurate are these?

RB Saints RB #51

CJ Donaldson

vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Final · PIT 16–10 NO

Median (PPR) 2.4
Status Active
RB 49ers RB #50 Start

Kaelon Black

@ Atlanta Falcons · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (PPR) 2.7
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Donaldson: 2.4 PPR pts/game over his last 4, 32% of snaps, 4.3 touches, PIT allows the 21st most to RBs.
  • Black: 4.6 PPR pts/game over his last 4, 22% of snaps, 8.5 touches, ATL allows the 5th most to RBs.
Donaldson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ NYG 1.9 33% 6
Wk 5 vs MIN 3.0 42% 5
Wk 4 vs ATL 4.3 38% 5
Wk 3 vs LV 0.5 16% 1
Black Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ ATL 10.9 – 13
Wk 6 vs WAS 4.7 23% 9
Wk 5 @ SEA 1.6 18% 6
Wk 4 vs DEN 1.3 26% 6

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Donaldson Black
Median PPR pts 2.4 2.7
Rush Yds 12.9 21.4
Rush TD 0.1 0.1
Rec 0.7 0.4
Rec Yds 4.7 3.1
Rec TD 0.0 0.0

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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