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Week 7 · PPR start/sit

Start Kaelon Black or Marvin Mims Jr.?

Final · Week 7

Black outscored Mims

Our call was start Mims (50%): wrong by 3.3 PPR pts.

Black 10.9 Projected 2.7
Mims 7.6 Projected 2.9

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

RB 49ers RB #50

Kaelon Black

@ Atlanta Falcons · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (PPR) 2.7
Status Active
WR Broncos WR #80 Start

Marvin Mims Jr.

@ Arizona Cardinals · Final · DEN 30–16 ARI

Median (PPR) 2.9
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Black: 4.6 PPR pts/game over his last 4, 22% of snaps, 8.5 touches, ATL allows the 5th most to RBs.
  • Mims: 3.9 PPR pts/game over his last 4, 24% of snaps, 2.3 touches, ARI allows the 12th most to WRs.
Black Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ ATL 10.9 – 13
Wk 6 vs WAS 4.7 23% 9
Wk 5 @ SEA 1.6 18% 6
Wk 4 vs DEN 1.3 26% 6
Mims Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ ARI 7.6 – 3
Wk 6 vs SEA 3.3 27% 2
Wk 5 @ LAC 2.9 19% 3
Wk 4 @ SF 2.0 27% 1

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Black Mims
Median PPR pts 2.7 2.9
Rush Yds 21.4 1.6
Rush TD 0.1 0.0
Rec 0.4 1.7
Rec Yds 3.1 18.5
Rec TD 0.0 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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