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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Justice Hill or Kaelon Black?

Final · Week 7

Black outscored Hill

Our call was start Hill (52%): wrong by 5.6 Half PPR pts.

Hill 4.8 Projected 3.0
Black 10.4 Projected 2.6

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

RB Ravens RB #46 Start

Justice Hill

vs Cincinnati Bengals · Final · CIN 35–13 BAL

Median (Half PPR) 3.0
Status Active
RB 49ers RB #49

Kaelon Black

@ Atlanta Falcons · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (Half PPR) 2.6
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Hill: 4.9 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 42% of snaps, 4.5 touches, CIN allows the 29th most to RBs.
  • Black: 4.4 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 22% of snaps, 8.5 touches, ATL allows the 7th most to RBs.
Hill Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs CIN 4.8 – 6
Wk 6 @ CLE 2.4 42% 3
Wk 5 @ ATL 8.8 46% 6
Wk 4 vs TEN 3.5 38% 3
Black Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ ATL 10.4 – 13
Wk 6 vs WAS 4.2 23% 9
Wk 5 @ SEA 1.6 18% 6
Wk 4 vs DEN 1.3 26% 6

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Hill Black
Median Half PPR pts 3.0 2.6
Rush Yds 12.2 21.4
Rush TD 0.1 0.1
Rec 1.5 0.4
Rec Yds 10.7 3.1
Rec TD 0.1 0.0

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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