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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Justice Hill or Kaelon Black?

Final · Week 7

Black outscored Hill

Our call was start Black (53%): right by 6.6 Standard pts.

Hill 3.3 Projected 2.2
Black 9.9 Projected 2.4

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

RB Ravens RB #48

Justice Hill

vs Cincinnati Bengals · Final · CIN 35–13 BAL

Median (Standard) 2.2
Status Active
RB 49ers RB #47 Start

Kaelon Black

@ Atlanta Falcons · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (Standard) 2.4
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Hill: 3.6 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 43% of snaps, 4.5 touches, CIN allows the 29th most to RBs.
  • Black: 4.1 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 28% of snaps, 8.5 touches, ATL allows the 7th most to RBs.
Hill Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs CIN 3.3 46% 6
Wk 6 @ CLE 0.9 42% 3
Wk 5 @ ATL 7.8 46% 6
Wk 4 vs TEN 2.5 38% 3
Black Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ ATL 9.9 47% 13
Wk 6 vs WAS 3.7 23% 9
Wk 5 @ SEA 1.6 18% 6
Wk 4 vs DEN 1.3 26% 6

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Hill Black
Median Standard pts 2.2 2.4
Rush Yds 12.2 21.4
Rush TD 0.1 0.1
Rec 1.5 0.4
Rec Yds 10.7 3.1
Rec TD 0.1 0.0

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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