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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Kaelon Black or Tez Johnson?

Final · Week 7

Johnson outscored Black

Our call was start Johnson (52%): right by 0.8 Standard pts.

Black 9.9 Projected 2.4
Johnson 10.7 Projected 2.4

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

RB 49ers RB #47

Kaelon Black

@ Atlanta Falcons · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (Standard) 2.4
Status Active
WR Buccaneers WR #59 Start

Tez Johnson

@ Carolina Panthers · Final · TB 43–13 CAR

Median (Standard) 2.4
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Black: 4.1 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 28% of snaps, 8.5 touches, ATL allows the 7th most to RBs.
  • Johnson: 5.1 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 49% of snaps, 2.3 touches, CAR allows the 28th most to WRs.
Black Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ ATL 9.9 47% 13
Wk 6 vs WAS 3.7 23% 9
Wk 5 @ SEA 1.6 18% 6
Wk 4 vs DEN 1.3 26% 6
Johnson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ CAR 10.7 65% 3
Wk 6 vs PIT 0.7 34% 2
Wk 5 @ DAL 6.4 39% 1
Wk 4 vs GB 2.7 56% 3

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Black Johnson
Median Standard pts 2.4 2.4
Rush Yds 21.4 1.6
Rush TD 0.1 0.0
Rec 0.4 1.8
Rec Yds 3.1 25.8
Rec TD 0.0 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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