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Week 7 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Kaelon Black or Tez Johnson?

Final · Week 7

Johnson outscored Black

Our call was start Johnson (60%): right by 0.8 DraftKings pts.

Black 11.9 Projected 2.8
Johnson 12.7 Projected 4.3

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

RB 49ers RB #50

Kaelon Black

@ Atlanta Falcons · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (DraftKings) 2.8
Status Active
WR Buccaneers WR #60 Start

Tez Johnson

@ Carolina Panthers · Final · TB 43–13 CAR

Median (DraftKings) 4.3
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Black: 4.9 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 28% of snaps, 8.5 touches, ATL allows the 5th most to RBs.
  • Johnson: 6.9 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 49% of snaps, 2.3 touches, CAR allows the 26th most to WRs.
Black Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ ATL 11.9 47% 13
Wk 6 vs WAS 4.7 23% 9
Wk 5 @ SEA 1.6 18% 6
Wk 4 vs DEN 1.3 26% 6
Johnson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ CAR 12.7 65% 3
Wk 6 vs PIT 2.7 34% 2
Wk 5 @ DAL 7.4 39% 1
Wk 4 vs GB 4.7 56% 3

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Black Johnson
Median DraftKings pts 2.8 4.3
Rush Yds 21.4 1.6
Rush TD 0.1 0.0
Rec 0.4 1.8
Rec Yds 3.1 25.8
Rec TD 0.0 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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