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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Kaelon Black or Tez Johnson?

Final · Week 7

Johnson outscored Black

Our call was start Johnson (57%): right by 1.3 Half PPR pts.

Black 10.4 Projected 2.6
Johnson 11.7 Projected 3.3

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

RB 49ers RB #49

Kaelon Black

@ Atlanta Falcons · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (Half PPR) 2.6
Status Active
WR Buccaneers WR #60 Start

Tez Johnson

@ Carolina Panthers · Final · TB 43–13 CAR

Median (Half PPR) 3.3
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Black: 4.4 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 28% of snaps, 8.5 touches, ATL allows the 7th most to RBs.
  • Johnson: 6.0 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 49% of snaps, 2.3 touches, CAR allows the 28th most to WRs.
Black Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ ATL 10.4 47% 13
Wk 6 vs WAS 4.2 23% 9
Wk 5 @ SEA 1.6 18% 6
Wk 4 vs DEN 1.3 26% 6
Johnson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ CAR 11.7 65% 3
Wk 6 vs PIT 1.7 34% 2
Wk 5 @ DAL 6.9 39% 1
Wk 4 vs GB 3.7 56% 3

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Black Johnson
Median Half PPR pts 2.6 3.3
Rush Yds 21.4 1.6
Rush TD 0.1 0.0
Rec 0.4 1.8
Rec Yds 3.1 25.8
Rec TD 0.0 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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