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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Dameon Pierce or DeMario Douglas?

The verdict

Start Dameon Pierce

Wins 55% of simulated matchups against Douglas.

Douglas already played: 2.3 Standard pts (projected 5.2).

Week 6: Douglas outscored Pierce 12.6 to 11.0. Our call, start Pierce (51%), was wrong.

Pierce 55% 45% Douglas

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
RB Eagles RB #26 Start

Dameon Pierce

vs Dallas Cowboys · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Standard) 5.8
Status Active
WR Patriots WR #29

DeMario Douglas

@ Chicago Bears · Final · NE 24–30 CHI

Median (Standard) 5.2
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Pierce: 6.1 Standard pts/game over his last 2, 86% of snaps, 14.5 touches, DAL allows the 9th most to RBs.
  • Douglas: 8.7 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 55% of snaps, 4.0 touches, CHI allows the 18th most to WRs.
Pierce Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 vs CAR 11.0 95% 16
Wk 5 @ JAX 1.2 77% 13
Douglas Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ CHI 2.3 65% 3
Wk 6 vs NYJ 12.6 59% 7
Wk 5 vs LV 18.5 49% 4
Wk 4 @ BUF 1.5 46% 2

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Pierce Douglas
Median Standard pts 5.8 5.2
Rush Yds 37.0 0.5
Rush TD 0.3 0.0
Rec 1.4 3.7
Rec Yds 8.6 46.3
Rec TD 0.0 0.4

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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