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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Dameon Pierce or Kyle Pitts?

The verdict

Start Dameon Pierce

Wins 60% of simulated matchups against Pitts.

Pitts already played: 8.2 Standard pts (projected 4.1).

Week 6: Pitts outscored Pierce 18.0 to 11.0. Our call, start Pierce (55%), was wrong.

Pierce 60% 40% Pitts

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
RB Eagles RB #26 Start

Dameon Pierce

vs Dallas Cowboys · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Standard) 5.8
Status Active
TE Falcons TE #11

Kyle Pitts

vs San Francisco 49ers · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (Standard) 4.1
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Pierce: 6.1 Standard pts/game over his last 2, 86% of snaps, 14.5 touches, DAL allows the 9th most to RBs.
  • Pitts: 10.3 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 63% of snaps, 4.5 touches, SF allows the 26th most to TEs.
Pierce Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 vs CAR 11.0 95% 16
Wk 5 @ JAX 1.2 77% 13
Pitts Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs SF 8.2 56% 5
Wk 6 vs CHI 18.0 78% 5
Wk 5 vs BAL 10.2 67% 5
Wk 4 @ NO 4.7 51% 3

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Pierce Pitts
Median Standard pts 5.8 4.1
Rush Yds 37.0 0.0
Rush TD 0.3 0.0
Rec 1.4 3.3
Rec Yds 8.6 36.8
Rec TD 0.0 0.3

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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