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Week 7 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Derrick Henry or George Pickens?

Close call

Start Derrick Henry

Wins 53% of simulated matchups against Pickens.

Henry already played: 5.9 DraftKings pts (projected 15.1).

Week 6: Pickens outscored Henry 13.3 to 6.0. Our call, start Henry (59%), was wrong.

Henry 53% 47% Pickens

Share of simulations in which each player scores more DraftKings pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Henry has the safer floor

By how much, and who has the upside?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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RB Ravens RB #15 Start

Derrick Henry

vs Cincinnati Bengals · Final · CIN 35–13 BAL

Median (DraftKings) 15.1
Status Active
WR Cowboys WR #13

George Pickens

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 13.3
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Henry: 12.9 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 56% of snaps, 21.5 touches, CIN allows the 29th most to RBs.
  • Pickens: 17.3 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 87% of snaps, 6.0 touches, PHI allows the 4th most to WRs.
Henry Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs CIN 5.9 51% 18
Wk 6 @ CLE 6.0 58% 18
Wk 5 @ ATL 24.0 55% 25
Wk 4 vs TEN 15.9 62% 25
Pickens Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 13.3 88% 6
Wk 5 vs TB 31.0 88% 9
Wk 4 @ HOU 9.5 86% 2
Wk 3 vs BAL 15.2 85% 7

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Henry Pickens
Median DraftKings pts 15.1 13.3
Rush Yds 83.3 0.5
Rush TD 0.8 0.0
Rec 1.2 5.0
Rec Yds 8.5 74.2
Rec TD 0.1 0.3

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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