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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Derrick Henry or George Pickens?

The verdict

Start Derrick Henry

Wins 65% of simulated matchups against Pickens.

Henry already played: 4.9 Standard pts (projected 12.8).

Week 6: Pickens outscored Henry 7.3 to 4.0. Our call, start Henry (69%), was wrong.

Henry 65% 35% Pickens

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
RB Ravens RB #9 Start

Derrick Henry

vs Cincinnati Bengals · Final · CIN 35–13 BAL

Median (Standard) 12.8
Status Active
WR Cowboys WR #13

George Pickens

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Standard) 8.2
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Henry: 10.7 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 56% of snaps, 21.5 touches, CIN allows the 29th most to RBs.
  • Pickens: 10.5 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 87% of snaps, 6.0 touches, PHI allows the 2nd most to WRs.
Henry Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs CIN 4.9 51% 18
Wk 6 @ CLE 4.0 58% 18
Wk 5 @ ATL 20.0 55% 25
Wk 4 vs TEN 13.9 62% 25
Pickens Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 7.3 88% 6
Wk 5 vs TB 19.0 88% 9
Wk 4 @ HOU 7.5 86% 2
Wk 3 vs BAL 8.2 85% 7

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Henry Pickens
Median Standard pts 12.8 8.2
Rush Yds 83.3 0.5
Rush TD 0.8 0.0
Rec 1.2 5.0
Rec Yds 8.5 74.2
Rec TD 0.1 0.3

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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