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Week 7 · PPR start/sit

Start Derrick Henry or George Pickens?

Close call

Start Derrick Henry

Wins 53% of simulated matchups against Pickens.

Henry already played: 5.9 PPR pts (projected 14.2).

Week 6: Pickens outscored Henry 13.3 to 5.0. Our call, start Henry (58%), was wrong.

Henry 53% 47% Pickens

Share of simulations in which each player scores more PPR pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Henry has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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RB Ravens RB #15 Start

Derrick Henry

vs Cincinnati Bengals · Final · CIN 35–13 BAL

Median (PPR) 14.2
Status Active
WR Cowboys WR #13

George Pickens

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (PPR) 13.3
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Henry: 11.9 PPR pts/game over his last 4, 58% of snaps, 21.5 touches, CIN allows the 30th most to RBs.
  • Pickens: 16.5 PPR pts/game over his last 4, 87% of snaps, 6.0 touches, PHI allows the 3rd most to WRs.
Henry Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs CIN 5.9 – 18
Wk 6 @ CLE 5.0 58% 18
Wk 5 @ ATL 21.0 55% 25
Wk 4 vs TEN 15.9 62% 25
Pickens Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 13.3 88% 6
Wk 5 vs TB 28.0 88% 9
Wk 4 @ HOU 9.5 86% 2
Wk 3 vs BAL 15.2 85% 7

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Henry Pickens
Median PPR pts 14.2 13.3
Rush Yds 83.3 0.5
Rush TD 0.8 0.0
Rec 1.2 5.0
Rec Yds 8.5 74.2
Rec TD 0.1 0.3

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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