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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Garrett Wilson or George Pickens?

Close call

Start George Pickens

Wins 53% of simulated matchups against Wilson.

Wilson already played: 3.6 Half PPR pts (projected 9.6).

Week 6: Pickens outscored Wilson 10.3 to 6.4. Our call, start Wilson (55%), was wrong.

Wilson 47% 53% Pickens

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Half PPR pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Pickens has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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WR Jets WR #20

Garrett Wilson

vs Miami Dolphins · Final · MIA 28–25 NYJ

Median (Half PPR) 9.6
Status Active
WR Cowboys WR #13 Start

George Pickens

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Half PPR) 10.7
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Wilson: 8.5 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 94% of snaps, 4.0 touches, MIA allows the 30th most to WRs.
  • Pickens: 13.5 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 87% of snaps, 6.0 touches, PHI allows the 2nd most to WRs.
Wilson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs MIA 3.6 85% 2
Wk 6 @ NE 6.4 98% 4
Wk 5 vs CLE 19.9 93% 7
Wk 4 @ CHI 4.2 100% 3
Pickens Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 10.3 88% 6
Wk 5 vs TB 23.5 88% 9
Wk 4 @ HOU 8.5 86% 2
Wk 3 vs BAL 11.7 85% 7

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Wilson Pickens
Median Half PPR pts 9.6 10.7
Rec 4.9 5.0
Rec Yds 55.1 74.2
Rec TD 0.4 0.3

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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