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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start George Pickens or Ja'Marr Chase?

Close call

Start Ja'Marr Chase

Wins 52% of simulated matchups against Pickens.

Chase already played: 12.2 Standard pts (projected 8.9).

Pickens 48% 52% Chase

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Chase has the safer floor

By how much, and who has the upside?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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WR Cowboys WR #11

George Pickens

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Standard) 8.4
Status Active
WR Bengals WR #7 Start

Ja'Marr Chase

@ Baltimore Ravens · Final · CIN 35–13 BAL

Median (Standard) 8.9
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Pickens: 10.5 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 87% of snaps, 6.0 touches, PHI allows the 2nd most to WRs.
  • Chase: 11.1 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 74% of snaps, 5.8 touches, BAL allows the 9th most to WRs.
Pickens Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 7.3 88% 6
Wk 5 vs TB 19.0 88% 9
Wk 4 @ HOU 7.5 86% 2
Wk 3 vs BAL 8.2 85% 7
Chase Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ BAL 12.2 87% 5
Wk 5 @ MIA 13.7 89% 6
Wk 4 vs JAX 2.7 20% 3
Wk 3 @ PIT 15.8 100% 9

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Pickens Chase
Median Standard pts 8.4 8.9
Rec 5.1 6.7
Rec Yds 76.0 80.1
Rec TD 0.3 0.6

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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