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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start George Pickens or Michael Wilson?

Close call

Start George Pickens

Wins 53% of simulated matchups against Wilson.

Wilson already played: 8.6 Half PPR pts (projected 10.0).

Week 6: Pickens outscored Wilson 10.3 to 5.2. Our call, start Pickens (51%), was right.

Pickens 53% 47% Wilson

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Half PPR pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Pickens has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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WR Cowboys WR #13 Start

George Pickens

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Half PPR) 10.7
Status Active
WR Cardinals WR #16

Michael Wilson

vs Denver Broncos · Final · DEN 30–16 ARI

Median (Half PPR) 10.0
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Pickens: 13.5 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 87% of snaps, 6.0 touches, PHI allows the 2nd most to WRs.
  • Wilson: 8.0 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 90% of snaps, 5.3 touches, DEN allows the 27th most to WRs.
Pickens Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 10.3 88% 6
Wk 5 vs TB 23.5 88% 9
Wk 4 @ HOU 8.5 86% 2
Wk 3 vs BAL 11.7 85% 7
Wilson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs DEN 8.6 90% 6
Wk 6 @ LAR 5.2 92% 4
Wk 5 vs DET 5.3 84% 4
Wk 4 @ NYG 13.0 94% 7

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Pickens Wilson
Median Half PPR pts 10.7 10.0
Rec 5.0 5.7
Rec Yds 74.2 64.3
Rec TD 0.3 0.4

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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