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Week 7 · PPR start/sit

Start George Pickens or Rhamondre Stevenson?

The verdict

Start George Pickens

Wins 59% of simulated matchups against Stevenson.

Stevenson already played: 22.5 PPR pts (projected 10.6).

Week 6: Pickens outscored Stevenson 13.3 to 3.6. Our call, start Stevenson (51%), was wrong.

Pickens 59% 41% Stevenson

Share of simulations in which each player scores more PPR pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
WR Cowboys WR #13 Start

George Pickens

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (PPR) 13.3
Status Active
RB Patriots RB #19

Rhamondre Stevenson

@ Chicago Bears · Final · NE 24–30 CHI

Median (PPR) 10.6
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Pickens: 16.5 PPR pts/game over his last 4, 87% of snaps, 6.0 touches, PHI allows the 3rd most to WRs.
  • Stevenson: 15.5 PPR pts/game over his last 4, 67% of snaps, 14.3 touches, CHI allows the 27th most to RBs.
Pickens Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 13.3 88% 6
Wk 5 vs TB 28.0 88% 9
Wk 4 @ HOU 9.5 86% 2
Wk 3 vs BAL 15.2 85% 7
Stevenson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ CHI 22.5 69% 11
Wk 6 vs NYJ 3.6 60% 14
Wk 5 vs LV 17.5 71% 16
Wk 4 @ BUF 18.4 66% 16

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Pickens Stevenson
Median PPR pts 13.3 10.6
Rec 5.0 2.7
Rec Yds 74.2 23.6
Rec TD 0.3 0.1
Rush Yds 0.5 44.3
Rush TD 0.0 0.4

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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