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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Hunter Luepke or Zavion Thomas?

Close call

Start Zavion Thomas

Wins 52% of simulated matchups against Luepke.

Thomas already played: 0.0 Half PPR pts (projected 0.3).

Week 6: Thomas outscored Luepke 4.0 to 2.4. Our call, start Luepke (51%), was wrong.

Luepke 48% 52% Thomas

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Half PPR pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Their ranges are almost the same

Who booms, and who busts?

Same range, so boom and bust odds decide it. Pro shows both, side by side.

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RB Cowboys RB #72

Hunter Luepke

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Half PPR) 0.5
Status Active
WR Bears WR #111 Start

Zavion Thomas

vs New England Patriots · Final · NE 24–30 CHI

Median (Half PPR) 0.3
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Luepke: 0.9 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 13% of snaps, 1.3 touches, PHI allows the 17th most to RBs.
  • Thomas: 1.7 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 13% of snaps, 1.3 touches, NE allows the 14th most to WRs.
Luepke Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 2.4 14% 3
Wk 5 vs TB 0.5 12% 1
Wk 4 @ HOU 0.7 12% 1
Wk 3 vs BAL 0.0 14% –
Thomas Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs NE 0.0 7% –
Wk 6 @ ATL 4.0 13% 3
Wk 5 @ GB 2.7 22% 2
Wk 4 vs NYJ 0.0 10% –

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Luepke Thomas
Median Half PPR pts 0.5 0.3
Rush Yds 3.7 1.1
Rush TD 0.0 0.0
Rec 0.4 0.6
Rec Yds 3.4 6.3
Rec TD 0.0 0.0

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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