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Week 7 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Isaiah Davis or Jake Ferguson?

The verdict

Start Jake Ferguson

Wins 63% of simulated matchups against Davis.

Davis already played: 8.4 DraftKings pts (projected 3.1).

Week 6: Davis outscored Ferguson 3.6 to 3.3. Our call, start Ferguson (68%), was wrong.

Davis 37% 63% Ferguson

Share of simulations in which each player scores more DraftKings pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
RB Jets RB #47

Isaiah Davis

vs Miami Dolphins · Final · MIA 28–25 NYJ

Median (DraftKings) 3.1
Status Active
TE Cowboys TE #27 Start

Jake Ferguson

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 5.1
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Davis: 3.7 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 14% of snaps, 3.8 touches, MIA allows the 3rd most to RBs.
  • Ferguson: 5.7 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 69% of snaps, 2.8 touches, PHI allows the 23rd most to TEs.
Davis Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs MIA 8.4 22% 4
Wk 6 @ NE 3.6 13% 8
Wk 5 vs CLE 2.7 14% 3
Wk 4 @ CHI 0.0 6% –
Ferguson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 3.3 54% 2
Wk 5 vs TB 4.9 83% 3
Wk 4 @ HOU 4.1 71% 3
Wk 3 vs BAL 10.3 69% 3

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Davis Ferguson
Median DraftKings pts 3.1 5.1
Rush Yds 16.5 0.0
Rush TD 0.1 0.0
Rec 1.0 2.8
Rec Yds 7.2 22.3
Rec TD 0.0 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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