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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Isaiah Davis or Jake Ferguson?

The verdict

Start Jake Ferguson

Wins 59% of simulated matchups against Davis.

Davis already played: 6.9 Half PPR pts (projected 2.7).

Week 6: Davis outscored Ferguson 3.1 to 2.3. Our call, start Ferguson (64%), was wrong.

Davis 41% 59% Ferguson

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Half PPR pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
RB Jets RB #48

Isaiah Davis

vs Miami Dolphins · Final · MIA 28–25 NYJ

Median (Half PPR) 2.7
Status Active
TE Cowboys TE #27 Start

Jake Ferguson

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Half PPR) 3.6
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Davis: 3.0 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 14% of snaps, 3.8 touches, MIA allows the 4th most to RBs.
  • Ferguson: 4.0 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 69% of snaps, 2.8 touches, PHI allows the 22nd most to TEs.
Davis Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs MIA 6.9 22% 4
Wk 6 @ NE 3.1 13% 8
Wk 5 vs CLE 2.2 14% 3
Wk 4 @ CHI 0.0 6% –
Ferguson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 2.3 54% 2
Wk 5 vs TB 3.4 83% 3
Wk 4 @ HOU 2.6 71% 3
Wk 3 vs BAL 7.8 69% 3

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Davis Ferguson
Median Half PPR pts 2.7 3.6
Rush Yds 16.5 0.0
Rush TD 0.1 0.0
Rec 1.0 2.7
Rec Yds 7.2 22.4
Rec TD 0.0 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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