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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Isaiah Likely or Tyler Allgeier?

Final · Week 7

Allgeier outscored Likely

Our call was start Likely (52%): wrong by 3.7 Standard pts.

Likely 1.2 Projected 6.8
Allgeier 4.9 Projected 6.5

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

TE Giants TE #6 Start

Isaiah Likely

@ Houston Texans · Final · NYG 27–21 HOU

Median (Standard) 6.8
Status Active
RB Cardinals RB #24

Tyler Allgeier

vs Denver Broncos · Final · DEN 30–16 ARI

Median (Standard) 6.5
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Likely: 11.8 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 81% of snaps, 6.5 touches, HOU allows the 28th most to TEs.
  • Allgeier: 5.5 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 51% of snaps, 11.3 touches, DEN allows the 11th most to RBs.
Likely Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ HOU 1.2 86% 2
Wk 6 vs NO 17.9 91% 6
Wk 5 @ WAS 21.4 80% 11
Wk 4 vs ARI 6.6 66% 7
Allgeier Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs DEN 4.9 47% 11
Wk 6 @ LAR 4.8 56% 19
Wk 5 vs DET 1.6 44% 5
Wk 4 @ NYG 10.9 55% 10

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Likely Allgeier
Median Standard pts 6.8 6.5
Rec 6.1 2.3
Rec Yds 56.1 13.9
Rec TD 0.4 0.0
Rush Yds 0.0 36.3
Rush TD 0.0 0.4

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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