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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Jake Ferguson or Mark Andrews?

Close call

Start Mark Andrews

Wins 54% of simulated matchups against Ferguson.

Andrews already played: 3.8 Half PPR pts (projected 4.5).

Week 6: Ferguson outscored Andrews 2.3 to 0.9. Our call, start Andrews (56%), was wrong.

Ferguson 46% 54% Andrews

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Half PPR pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Andrews has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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TE Cowboys TE #27

Jake Ferguson

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Half PPR) 3.6
Status Active
TE Ravens TE #23 Start

Mark Andrews

vs Cincinnati Bengals · Final · CIN 35–13 BAL

Median (Half PPR) 4.5
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Ferguson: 4.0 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 69% of snaps, 2.8 touches, PHI allows the 22nd most to TEs.
  • Andrews: 4.7 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 65% of snaps, 3.3 touches, CIN allows the 11th most to TEs.
Ferguson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 2.3 54% 2
Wk 5 vs TB 3.4 83% 3
Wk 4 @ HOU 2.6 71% 3
Wk 3 vs BAL 7.8 69% 3
Andrews Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs CIN 3.8 57% 3
Wk 6 @ CLE 0.9 72% 1
Wk 5 @ ATL 2.8 72% 4
Wk 4 vs TEN 11.2 58% 5

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Ferguson Andrews
Median Half PPR pts 3.6 4.5
Rec 2.8 3.1
Rec Yds 22.3 29.5
Rec TD 0.2 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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